Is the HST rebate raising pre-construction home prices and sales?
On paper, the HST rebate, which doesn't affect the builder's required revenue for pre-construction financing, should simply be passed on to the buyer, effectively lowering new-home or pre-construction prices — by a lot, if a home is around $1M.
But data from the Greater Toronto Area suggest that some builders have raised prices since the HST rebate announcement — baking in a portion of the rebate.
Do the price increases constitute a cash grab? Given the depressed state of new-home building in the province, some experts believe prices are likely being calibrated to remain attractive to buyers chasing the rebate discount, while protecting earlier pre-construction buyers and builders from being underwater (owing more than what it's worth) to avoid financing failures and collapsed closings.
The more attractive it is for builders to build, the more new homes will be brought to market. Because home values are higher in many of Ontario's centres than in other Canadian centres, more inventory helps improve affordability and balance markets.
Home sales activity has increased since the HST rebate was announced. This summer, the HST rebate was credited with a 130% year-over-year rise in second-quarter sales. And in the GTA, those sales were mostly single-family homes.
How is the rebate affecting the condominium market?
Condo sales in Ontario haven't seen the same boost — just a slight increase in activity, not enough to lift this market out of the basement. In August 2026, condo apartment sales were still well below the 10-year average.
In fact, with many Ontario condo markets saturated with small-square-footage offerings, the HST rebate is helping families access a more livable space, like single-detached houses, semi-detached houses, and townhomes. A studio or one-bedroom condo doesn't fit that bill.
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