Shorter- and longer-term rate trends:
Why are variable rates usually lower than fixed rates?
A 5-year variable rate is typically LOWER than a 5-year fixed rate because it carries more risk of change and therefore appeals to fewer home buyers and owners.
Not every Canadian applying for a mortgage can handle the budget stress of changing payments, so a lower variable rate attracts those willing and able to put up with possible budget mayhem to (hopefully) save more. Historically, variable rates tend to outperform fixed rates — averaging out over the long term.
But like all things 'rates,' nothing is set in stone. Post-pandemic, variable rates were higher than fixed for a time, as the Bank of Canada led the fastest-ever rate-tightening cycle, causing a rate-relationship inversion.
Are short-term fixed rates cheaper than longer terms?
Mortgage rates for terms under 5 years are typically LOWER than those for 5 years or longer (for closed mortgages) because you're borrowing for less time.
A shorter term carries less default risk for the lender. The longer out you go, the more the rate can carry a 'premium' — you're paying for the privilege of borrowing for a longer period, and banks need to cover their funding costs.
And very short terms, like 1 year, may be higher than 2- or 3-year rates, depending on market conditions that can increase lender costs to manage.
But choosing a shorter term, even at a higher rate, can help you save if you anticipate lower rates at renewal.
Why are 5-year terms more popular if they usually come with higher rates?
Some homeowners simply prefer a standard 5-year term because it allows them time to settle into their budget, reduces exposure to rate changes, and cuts down on the time spent renewing more often or stressing about budget changes.
Lenders are still very competitive on 5-year rates because this term length is popular and locks in a longer period of fixed returns.
If homeowners suddenly decide en masse they want only 2- or 3-year terms, you'd likely see those rates rise as lenders recalibrate their operating costs.